Cleeng Blog - Digital Subscription Management Insights and News

Real-Time Fraud Detection: Building a Subscription Payment System

Written by Kamila Palka | Nov 7, 2025 5:58:45 PM

That sinking feeling when a spike in chargebacks signals your payment system is under attack is all too familiar for many engineering leaders. In today's subscription and D2C economy, fraud is faster, smarter, and attacks the entire customer journey, not just the checkout page. The challenge of building a resilient payment system design has grown exponentially, moving far beyond simple transaction validation.

Fraud prevention is no longer about manual, post-authorization reviews. That approach is reactive and simply doesn't scale. The new reality demands a proactive stance: real-time fraud detection that occurs before a transaction ever reaches the issuer. This shift is critical for protecting your merchant reputation, maximizing authorization rates, and safeguarding revenue.

This post provides a technical overview of modern fraud prevention. We will explore the core principles, technical layers, and architectural patterns required to build a robust fraud detection system architecture. The goal is to create a system that minimizes fraud while protecting the user experience, enabling your digital subscription business to scale and grow without compromise.

 

TL;DR: Key takeaways on building a real-time fraud detection system

  • Shift to pre-authorization: The core principle of modern fraud defense is shifting from slow, post-authorization reviews to real-time fraud detection before the transaction is sent to the bank. This protects your merchant reputation and authorization rates.

  • Use a Multi-Layered Architecture: A robust system is not one tool. It's a stack that combines multiple layers of defense:

    1. Front-end: Bot detection and device fingerprinting.

    2. Transaction-time: Velocity checks and data enrichment (AVS, CVV).

    3. Core logic: An AI/ML model and a custom rule engine.

  • Balance security with conversion: The goal is not "zero fraud," which leads to high false declines. The goal is to optimize your "payment success rate" by balancing security with user experience, using tools like dynamic 3DS and A/B testing your fraud rules.

 

 

Key strategies for modern fraud prevention in digital subscriptions

Building an effective fraud defense requires a fundamental shift in mindset. Legacy methods are no match for modern threats. Adopting these three core principles will lay the foundation for a resilient and scalable payment system.

 

1. Shift to real-time, pre-authorization fraud detection

The most critical principle is moving fraud checks from post-authorization to pre-authorization. Running analysis before calling the payment gateway API is a game-changer. By blocking fraudulent transactions before they reach issuers and acquirers, you protect your merchant reputation and avoid being labeled as high-risk. This is especially vital for subscription businesses, where high-frequency, low-value payments are common. Too many fraudulent attempts can lead banks to decline legitimate recurring payments, directly impacting customer retention and your reputation. 

 

2. Embrace automation and AI to replace manual reviews

Manual reviews are a bottleneck. They cannot scale during traffic spikes (like a live sports final or a season premiere), creating a poor customer experience and overwhelming your operations team. The solution is prediction and reactivity to new fraud patterns, but also automation powered by artificial intelligence and machine learning. AI/ML-based tools enable instant, accurate fraud decisions and smarter 3D Secure (3DS) routing, even during peak demand. This ensures legitimate customers can complete their purchases without friction while fraudsters are stopped in their tracks.

 

3. Unify fraud and payments for a holistic strategy

Fraud and payments are not separate functions; they are two sides of the same coin. An overly aggressive fraud strategy kills conversion by producing false declines (27% of customers whose transactions were falsely declined will never attempt to purchase from the same company), while a soft approach invites financial loss. It comes down to an optimization problem where both false positives and the fraud rate should be minimized. These functions should not be siloed. Instead, align your teams around a holistic payment success rate – the percentage of legitimate customers who successfully complete a purchase. This north star metric ensures you are balancing security with user experience to maximize revenue.

 

 

Common fraud vectors in the digital subscription economy

Modern fraudsters don't just target the checkout page. They exploit weaknesses across the entire customer lifecycle. A robust fraud detection system architecture must provide coverage at every touchpoint.

  • Account takeover (ATO): Fraudsters use stolen credentials to hijack subscriber accounts, change shipping addresses, or stream premium content without paying. This erodes customer trust and creates significant support overhead.

  • Free trial and policy abuse: This involves creating multiple fake accounts to exploit free trials or using coupon codes to secure unauthorized discounts. This type of abuse directly eats into your margins.

  • "Friendly fraud" / Chargeback abuse: A legitimate customer disputes a charge, claiming they didn't subscribe, didn't watch an event, or never received an item. This is a growing problem for D2C and subscription services.

  • Credential sharing: Multiple users exploit a single login to bypass paying for access, a common issue for streaming services that devalues the subscription. In 2024, Netflix introduced new account-sharing rules, stating that accounts can only be shared among members of the same household. 

 

 

Did you know that the average chargeback rate for the digital subscription industry is 0.8%?

Cleeng's average chargeback rate is 0.3%, with brands like Jme reaching rates as low as 0.2%!

 

 

The anatomy of a modern fraud detection system

A single data point is never enough for an accurate fraud decision. An effective system uses a multi-layered approach, combining various signals to build a comprehensive risk profile for each transaction.

 

Layer 1: the front line - device and behavior analysis

This first layer focuses on identifying non-human traffic and suspicious user actions before a payment is even attempted.

  • Device fingerprinting & bot detection: Tools like zero-bounce integration analyze unique device characteristics to identify and throttle bots and automated scripts. This is your first line of defense, especially when scaling payment systems to handle traffic surges.

  • Behavioral analytics: Tracking user actions, such as registration speed, login attempts, and checkout behavior, helps identify patterns that deviate from normal customer activity.

 

Layer 2: the transaction - real-time data enrichment

Once a user initiates a transaction, the system enriches the data with additional real-time checks.

  • Traditional checks: BIN checks, Address Verification System (AVS), and CVV checks remain valuable signals.

  • Velocity checks: This is a crucial element of real-time fraud detection, sometimes called throttling mechanisms. It involves monitoring the frequency of transactions from a single IP address, device, or card hash within a specific timeframe to spot rapid-fire fraud attempts. This helps prevent API-based attacks with session throttling and implements safeguards to limit the number of initial payment or IP-based attempts.

 

Layer 3: the brain - machine learning and custom rules

This is where the system makes its final decision, using advanced logic to assess the risk.

  • AI/ML models: Adaptive fraud models learn from extensive historical data and leverage network intelligence to spot fraudsters active on other platforms. Based on real-time self-correcting mechanisms and continuous learning, the AI models adjust their fraud prediction and improve their precision over time. This collective intelligence is something an in-house system struggles to replicate.

  • Custom rule engines: These engines provide granular control, allowing you to automate checks and instantly clear purchases based on your specific business logic. For example, such rules could block a specific payment method in a specific country

  • A/B testing fraud rules are essential for continuous optimization.

 

Architecting for resilience and scale

Integrating these layers into a coherent payment system design is key to building a resilient subscription platform.

The most important architectural decision is to perform pre-authorization fraud checks. This means your system should run its fraud analysis before sending the transaction to the issuer. This prevents fraudulent traffic from ever reaching your acquiring bank, protecting your merchant account health.

When scaling payment systems for peak events, bot detection and traffic throttling are non-negotiable. These tools manage surges, ensuring your infrastructure remains stable and legitimate customers have a smooth experience.

For many organizations, integrating fraud tools from a managed solution like Cleeng is the most efficient path forward. This approach allows you to outsource the complexity, to gain immediate access to a fast-learning AI system, and to benefit from network intelligence. When evaluating a payment-fraud detection API, look for flexibility, clear documentation, and the right data hooks for a seamless integration with your existing stack.

 

 

Optimizing for growth: balancing security and conversion

The goal is not "zero fraud." Chasing zero fraud often leads to overly restrictive rules that result in high false declines, damaging customer loyalty and suppressing revenue. The objective is to find an acceptable fraud threshold that protects margins without harming conversion.

One powerful tool for this is dynamic 3DS. Instead of challenging every transaction, apply 3D Secure selectively only to borderline-risk cases. This minimizes friction for returning subscribers and low-risk customers, creating a seamless checkout experience.

Finally, embrace a culture of continuous improvement through A/B testing. Actively test and refine your fraud rules, and analyze performance based on:

  • Geography: Fraud patterns in LATAM or MENA are different from those in the EU.

  • Customer type: New trial users should be treated differently than long-term subscribers.

  • Regulatory environments: Requirements like Strong Customer Authentication (SCA) in Europe must be factored into your logic.

 

Build a system that protects and enables

A modern fraud strategy is a delicate balancing act. It's a core component of your payment infrastructure that, when implemented correctly, enables growth, protects revenue, and builds customer trust. By shifting to real-time, pre-authorization fraud detection, embracing automation, and unifying your payments and fraud strategies, you can build a resilient system that is ready for the challenges of today and the scale of tomorrow.

Want to see how Cleeng's AI-driven, pre-authorization fraud tools can integrate with your stack? Check out our developer documentation or get in touch with our team to learn more. You can also create your free Cleeng Pro account to see how you can get started in less than 60 minutes!

 

 

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) about real-time fraud detection

1. What is pre-authorization fraud detection?

Pre-authorization (or "pre-auth") detection is an architectural pattern where fraud analysis is performed before the transaction is sent to the payment gateway or acquiring bank. Instead of reacting to a chargeback, this model uses AI and custom rules to score a transaction's risk in real-time, allowing the system to block the attempt before it ever reaches the card networks. At Cleeng, this pre-authorization layer is a core component of our fraud prevention strategy.

2. How do "velocity checks" work in a payment system?

Velocity checks are a real-time fraud prevention technique. They monitor the frequency of transactions from a single data point (like an IP address, device ID, or card number) within a short timeframe. For example, a rule can block or throttle any IP address that attempts more than 5 transactions in 1 minute. Cleeng's system utilizes these checks to throttle high-risk, automated bot attacks like card testing.

3. What is the "payment success rate" and why is it a better metric than "fraud rate"?

"Fraud rate" only tells you how much fraud you've caught. It doesn't tell you how many legitimate customers you've accidentally blocked (false positives). The "payment success rate" (or "complete rate") is a holistic metric that measures the percentage of legitimate customers who successfully complete a purchase. It's a better North Star metric because it forces you to balance security and conversion, and it's a primary metric Cleeng helps you optimize.

4. What is the role of bot detection in a fraud prevention architecture?

Bot detection is the first line of defense. It identifies and blocks non-human traffic before it can even attempt a transaction. For subscription businesses, this is critical for preventing automated attacks like free trial abuse and large-scale card testing. Cleeng integrates bot detection as a critical first layer to reduce the load on your system and our more resource-intensive fraud analysis.